Bayesian Machine Learning
· Monte Carlo
The posterior predictive
Back to Our Evil World
Ready
1 · Prior
2 · Likelihood
3 · Posterior predictive
p
(
x
| data)
Monte Carlo,
Exact: the beta-binomial
Step
Space
Auto-run
A
Speed
Narrated: 0.4 s a step
Brisk: 0.1 s a step
Fast: 50 draws a second
+100 draws
F
+1,000 draws
Reset
R
N = 0
Change the numbers
Prior
a
Prior
b
Days so far
Evil people met
Next days,
n
Apply and reset
Back to the class numbers
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